From the race archive. Charleston Harbor ship race, 21 May 2023
3 ships. One daily race. Harbor Mouth to Fort Sumter.
MSC CHICAGO
Passed the window at 23:00 · ← Heading in from sea
MSC LAUSANNE
The final order
Fastest course time wins. Race score compares her time with what her conditions, size and class expected.
| # | Boat / daily W–L | Last 5 places | Closing odds | Course time ↑ | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | MSC LAUSANNE↙ In · 3–3 W–L | 11213 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:08Finished 09:11 | 09:2880 s ahead | +1.0Winner |
| 02 | MAERSK SEMBAWANG↙ In · 9–34–1 W–L | 41293 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:44Finished 05:32 | 09:2541 s ahead | +0.5Handicap figure |
| 03 | CMA CGM T.ROOSEVELT↗ Out · 2–14 W–L | 67411 | —Chance published with the pick field | 09:24Finished 22:40 | 09:262 s ahead | 0.0Handicap figure |
| 04 | AXEL MAERSK↗ Out · 0–4 W–L | 4456 | —Chance published with the pick field | 11:04Finished 19:37 | 10:1351 s behind | -0.5Handicap figure |
| 05 | MSC CHICAGO↙ In · 0–13 W–L | 85743 | —Chance published with the pick field | 11:15Finished 23:00 | 10:1362 s behind | -0.6Handicap figure |
| 06 | NAGOYA EXPRESS↙ In · 2–4 W–L | 37151 | —Chance published with the pick field | 11:49Finished 22:34 | 09:59110 s behind | -1.1Handicap figure |
How the scoring works
The day’s race in each class is won by the lowest actual elapsed time between the two gates. Ties inside the timing register’s floor — one second at the window, two seconds in the archive — are ties, and every co-winner is named.
Race score is the handicap figure. It compares her actual time with the expectation for her class, direction, size, draught and the current she ran in; positive means better than expected. It is shown beside every boat as “vs expected” and it decides nothing. Figures are ranked at full precision and published to one decimal, so two boats showing the same decimal are not necessarily tied.
Odds are fair fractional odds for the chance of posting the fastest time in this field, with the same probability shown as a percentage. The stored probability is the canonical number; the fraction beside it is a rounded label. No stake, no prize.
Open handicap
Fastest course time wins. Race score compares her time with what her conditions, size and class expected.
| # | Boat / daily W–L | Last 5 places | Closing odds | Course time ↑ | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | CARNIVAL SUNSHINE↙ In · 146–243–14 W–L | 12112 | —Chance published with the pick field | 07:59Finished 04:35 | 08:5252 s ahead | +0.8Winner |
| 02 | HAWAIIAN HIGHWAY↗ Out · 4–24–1 W–L | 22532 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:03Finished 00:17 | 08:1310 s ahead | +0.2Handicap figure |
| 03 | CARNIVAL SUNSHINE↗ Out · 146–243–14 W–L | 12112 | —Chance published with the pick field | 09:04Finished 16:50 | 08:4519 s behind | -0.3Handicap figure |
| 04 | CELEBRITY SUMMIT↙ In · 4–8–1 W–L | 52141 | —Chance published with the pick field | 10:04Finished 16:46 | 08:4876 s behind | -1.1Handicap figure |
| 05 | BBC MOONSTONE↙ In · 2–3 W–L | 31125 | —Chance published with the pick field | 10:33Finished 13:06 | 11:1239 s ahead | +0.4Handicap figure |
| 06 | IRELAND↗ Out · 0–7 W–L | 35345 | —Chance published with the pick field | 11:11Finished 20:22 | 10:3437 s behind | -0.3Handicap figure |
| 07 | COS ORCHID↗ Out · 1–1 W–L | 71 | —Chance published with the pick field | 14:00Finished 16:57 | 10:07233 s behind | -1.9Handicap figure |
How the scoring works
The day’s race in each class is won by the lowest actual elapsed time between the two gates. Ties inside the timing register’s floor — one second at the window, two seconds in the archive — are ties, and every co-winner is named.
Race score is the handicap figure. It compares her actual time with the expectation for her class, direction, size, draught and the current she ran in; positive means better than expected. It is shown beside every boat as “vs expected” and it decides nothing. Figures are ranked at full precision and published to one decimal, so two boats showing the same decimal are not necessarily tied.
Odds are fair fractional odds for the chance of posting the fastest time in this field, with the same probability shown as a percentage. The stored probability is the canonical number; the fraction beside it is a rounded label. No stake, no prize.
Points rule
A correct pick earns 100 divided by the probability accepted when it was saved, so a 25% selection earns 400 points. A wrong pick earns zero and nothing is deducted. A tied first place divides the award between the co-winners. A withdrawn boat, a void contest or a late pick earns zero and is labelled void, not incorrect. Points are recognition only: no money, no entry fee, no cash value. No stake, no prize.
The stare down
Flyby 400
400 m zone · Ranked by elapsed time, lowest first · One row per craft
Window timing only · Today, this week and all-time