From the race archive. Charleston Harbor ship race, 15 April 2023
3 ships. One daily race. Harbor Mouth to Fort Sumter.
LORI
Passed the window at 19:57 · Heading out to sea →
MSC HEIDI
The final order
Fastest course time wins. Race score compares her time with what her conditions, size and class expected.
| # | Boat / daily W–L | Last 5 places | Closing odds | Course time ↑ | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | MSC HEIDI↗ Out · 1–3 W–L | 4812 | —Chance published with the pick field | 07:15Finished 06:06 | 08:5297 s ahead | +1.3Winner |
| 02 | MSC ELA↙ In · 2–12 W–L | 75545 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:36Finished 15:33 | 09:2851 s ahead | +0.6Handicap figure |
| 03 | MAERSK BOGOR↙ In · 6–14 W–L | 108731 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:52Finished 17:09 | 09:3846 s ahead | +0.5Handicap figure |
| 04 | MAERSK SYDNEY↗ Out · 3–10 W–L | 45413 | —Chance published with the pick field | 10:16Finished 14:10 | 09:5322 s behind | -0.2Handicap figure |
| 05 | CMA CGM COLUMBA↙ In · 1–16 W–L | 22435 | —Chance published with the pick field | 10:19Finished 09:05 | 10:5334 s ahead | +0.3Handicap figure |
| 06 | ZIM ANTWERP↗ Out · 4–16 W–L | 15622 | —Chance published with the pick field | 11:10Finished 17:35 | 09:14117 s behind | -1.2Handicap figure |
| 07 | MSC AMALFI↙ In · 0–8 W–L | 29757 | —Chance published with the pick field | 13:09Finished 13:52 | 09:18231 s behind | -2.2Handicap figure |
How the scoring works
The day’s race in each class is won by the lowest actual elapsed time between the two gates. Ties inside the timing register’s floor — one second at the window, two seconds in the archive — are ties, and every co-winner is named.
Race score is the handicap figure. It compares her actual time with the expectation for her class, direction, size, draught and the current she ran in; positive means better than expected. It is shown beside every boat as “vs expected” and it decides nothing. Figures are ranked at full precision and published to one decimal, so two boats showing the same decimal are not necessarily tied.
Odds are fair fractional odds for the chance of posting the fastest time in this field, with the same probability shown as a percentage. The stored probability is the canonical number; the fraction beside it is a rounded label. No stake, no prize.
Open handicap
Fastest course time wins. Race score compares her time with what her conditions, size and class expected.
| # | Boat / daily W–L | Last 5 places | Closing odds | Course time ↑ | Expected | vs expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | LORI↗ Out · 11–10–1 W–L | 12114 | —Chance published with the pick field | 07:19Finished 19:57 | 09:06107 s ahead | +1.3Winner |
| 02 | CARNIVAL SUNSHINE↙ In · 146–243–14 W–L | 12112 | —Chance published with the pick field | 07:50Finished 04:26 | 08:5969 s ahead | +1.1Handicap figure |
| 03 | CARNIVAL SUNSHINE↗ Out · 146–243–14 W–L | 12112 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:31Finished 16:29 | 08:4312 s ahead | +0.2Handicap figure |
| 04 | VIKING OCTANTIS↗ Out · 2–6–1 W–L | 11231 | —Chance published with the pick field | 08:33Finished 18:13 | 08:0330 s behind | -0.5Handicap figure |
| 05 | HAWAIIAN HIGHWAY↗ Out · 4–24–1 W–L | 22532 | —Chance published with the pick field | 09:12Finished 06:22 | 08:3636 s behind | -0.5Handicap figure |
| 06 | ARC DEFENDER↙ In · 19–27 W–L | 51431 | —Chance published with the pick field | 09:48Finished 05:58 | 10:1225 s ahead | +0.3Handicap figure |
| 07 | ARC DEFENDER↗ Out · 19–27 W–L | 51431 | —Chance published with the pick field | 09:51Finished 13:22 | 09:4110 s behind | -0.1Handicap figure |
| 08 | VIKING OCTANTIS↙ In · 2–6–1 W–L | 11231 | —Chance published with the pick field | 15:31Finished 04:47 | 08:54397 s behind | -4.5Handicap figure |
How the scoring works
The day’s race in each class is won by the lowest actual elapsed time between the two gates. Ties inside the timing register’s floor — one second at the window, two seconds in the archive — are ties, and every co-winner is named.
Race score is the handicap figure. It compares her actual time with the expectation for her class, direction, size, draught and the current she ran in; positive means better than expected. It is shown beside every boat as “vs expected” and it decides nothing. Figures are ranked at full precision and published to one decimal, so two boats showing the same decimal are not necessarily tied.
Odds are fair fractional odds for the chance of posting the fastest time in this field, with the same probability shown as a percentage. The stored probability is the canonical number; the fraction beside it is a rounded label. No stake, no prize.
Points rule
A correct pick earns 100 divided by the probability accepted when it was saved, so a 25% selection earns 400 points. A wrong pick earns zero and nothing is deducted. A tied first place divides the award between the co-winners. A withdrawn boat, a void contest or a late pick earns zero and is labelled void, not incorrect. Points are recognition only: no money, no entry fee, no cash value. No stake, no prize.
The stare down
Flyby 400
400 m zone · Ranked by elapsed time, lowest first · One row per craft
Window timing only · Today, this week and all-time